Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.409869 4.065198 4.849200 5.867199 7.170232 8.804585 1.104578e+01
2024-10-13 2.411724 3.167993 4.195580 5.735801 8.063033 11.585537 1.761487e+01
2024-10-20 2.019805 2.821462 4.004672 5.960703 9.291849 15.117996 2.711647e+01
2024-10-27 1.691144 2.466834 3.681572 5.840890 9.873773 17.804412 3.698134e+01
2024-11-03 1.564771 2.382615 3.742050 6.347429 11.720956 23.780281 5.917972e+01
2024-11-10 1.418813 2.234332 3.655687 6.552376 13.049446 29.440828 8.732783e+01
2024-11-17 1.318281 2.142247 3.644031 6.891972 14.812814 37.392865 1.355849e+02
2024-11-24 1.190040 1.979245 3.466516 6.832004 15.595805 43.200792 1.873896e+02
2024-12-01 1.098892 1.869790 3.371445 6.928261 16.840475 51.600229 2.761524e+02
2024-12-08 1.016016 1.763774 3.263728 6.965887 17.950749 60.658520 4.050655e+02
2024-12-15 0.967893 1.718160 3.273572 7.297573 20.147906 76.829499 6.933074e+02
2024-12-22 0.896638 1.616923 3.145558 7.236931 21.032010 88.099147 1.030002e+03
2024-12-29 0.828210 1.524453 3.048164 7.315150 22.809754 109.350851 1.943431e+03
2025-01-05 0.749963 1.403896 2.871924 7.142734 23.677980 128.433349 3.557238e+03
2025-01-12 0.708111 1.354449 2.853865 7.439695 26.798711 173.619695 1.046943e+04
2025-01-19 0.649484 1.259854 2.706637 7.281356 27.771216 204.816485 2.534160e+04
2025-01-26 0.633632 1.258892 2.796912 7.952420 33.651312 319.594368 3.265097e+05
2025-02-02 0.602503 1.218155 2.774451 8.225116 37.755796 444.919469 3.093689e+07
2025-02-09 0.580224 1.195186 2.796038 8.678418 43.697254 672.686783 NaN
2025-02-16 0.543125 1.131611 2.691517 8.598241 45.962785 853.174865 NaN
2025-02-23 0.515802 1.088953 2.640495 8.726962 50.154080 1187.980692 NaN
2025-03-02 0.488884 1.044190 2.575701 8.777316 53.935052 1631.557467 NaN
2025-03-09 0.473858 1.027969 2.595054 9.222120 62.291258 2764.441383 NaN